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Selasa, 30 September 2014
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Kamis, 25 September 2014
Huge long-short fund suffering outflows as performance wanes
Huge long-short fund suffering outflows as performance wanes
Manager calls asset decline 'natural organic redemption' but others see investor focus on return
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Rabu, 24 September 2014
Exclusive: New research service redefines 'liquid alts' for advisers
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Selasa, 23 September 2014
SEC advisory panel recommends new approach to accredited investor label
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Market risk is ignored by invincible investors
Market risk is ignored by invincible investors
Plus: El-Erian dishes a bit on Pimco, Schorsch adds more management muscle, second-guessing Calpers, Obama forces companies to stay home, seeing volatility as an asset class, and hedge funds test the limits of advertising rules
- The downside of a Fed-fueled bull market is that everyone feels like an investment genius. The real risk in this market is that investors are starting to believe their portfolios are invincible. Confusing brilliance with a bull market
- Mohamed El-Erian gets chatty and melancholy about his departure from Pimco. But he's still not dishing on his former boss, Bill Gross. 'Part-time work' is not in his vocabulary
- Nick Schorsch adds more muscle to his growing nontraded REIT empire by hiring former LPL exec Bill Dwyer. IN's Bruce Kelly breaks it down ahead of the pack. Shaking up the leadership
- Second-guessing the Calpers' decision to dump its hedge fund exposure. Despite the naysayers, the latest data show hedge funds are still alive and well. Even the much unloved fund of hedge funds sector has stopped hemorrhaging assets
- Big government becomes obsessed with corporate inversions, completely missing the point of why companies are relocating headquarters to more tax-friendly locales. Your tax dollars at work. Making the inversion numbers harder to add up
- The first step to investing in volatility is convincing oneself that it is an actual asset class. A source of opportunity
- Now that hedge funds have been given an inch, in terms of the ability to advertise, some are taking a mile, in terms of cherry-picking performance reports. The slippery side of advertising rules
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Sabtu, 20 September 2014
Nontransparent ETFs a step backward
Nontransparent ETFs a step backward
Less transparency for new products seems in conflict with the SEC's interest in increased disclosure of mutual fund holdings
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Jumat, 19 September 2014
This week's stories that financial advisers can't miss
This week's stories that financial advisers can't miss
A scandalous lawsuit, new data on the growth of independent firms, and the rest of this week's must-reads
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Rabu, 17 September 2014
Untangling Nicholas Schorsch's vast web of businesses
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Senin, 15 September 2014
Markets wait on the Fed's next move
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Minggu, 14 September 2014
Why managed futures aren't getting the job done
Why managed futures aren't getting the job done
Most advisers got involved in managed futures after stocks' poor performance in 2008 but walked right into another poor market environment
Most advisers got involved in managed futures after stocks performed poorly in 2008. But they walked right into another poor market environment, this time for managed futures themselves.
While they don't make the headlines as much, managed futures as an asset class are in crisis now, reminding many investors of the “generational low” terminology used by the stock folks circa 2009. The main managed-futures benchmark indexes are all close to five-year lows and sitting just above their worst drawdown levels in the past 15 years, at 38 months and -12.58%, respectively, from their past all-time highs.
But even though this period is the worst on record for the managed futures, the comparison with other asset classes is hardly a comparison at all, with managed futures losing about 12% from its highs, compared with roughly 50% for stocks and 65% for gold.
Despite the names on several managed futures products, they are not trying to provide the classic managed futures performance profile. Take 361 Capital's “Managed Futures Strategy,” which deserves credit for doing well in this poor period. But the strategy doesn't do trend following and isn't in commodities. Instead, it uses a counter-trend approach focusing on U.S. stock indexes only. There's nothing wrong with a different approach but investors need to know it isn't necessarily going to act like 'managed futures' when the next 2008-type market comes along.
Similarly, a recent review of the popular AQR Managed Futures Strategy reveals that 95% of the exposure was in financials, currencies and stock indexes. That's all well and good, and many of the largest managed futures programs have skewed their portfolios that way because of success in those markets recently, but investors need to know that it isn't going to necessarily act like 'managed futures' during a big sell off in oil, corn, copper or any similar 'in the ground'-type commodity.
EASIER ISN'T ALWAYS BETTER
While the mutual fund wrapper has made managed futures cheaper and easier to access, several of the so-called managed-futures mutual funds and exchange-traded funds don't actually provide access to managed-futures managers. Instead of the very complicated path of screening, hiring and allocating to actual managed-futures programs and managers — and having to pay them fees — many funds choose to use a single indicator to replicate managed futures performance at a low cost.
Despite big cost savings, the results have been rather disastrous, in at least one case, for those investors hoping to track the benchmark managed-futures indexes with a “managed-futures fund.”
These replication products can offer a lot of cost savings, but does it matter that you're saving 150 basis points if underperforming the benchmark by nearly 30%?
It costs money to operate a fund, go on road shows pitching advisers on the product, and wine and dine the custodians to get a fund listed and available on their platforms. So it should be no big surprise that the managed-futures investments put in front of advisers are from the biggest names with the most money to spend on the adviser channel.
The old saying the rich get richer has never been truer than in managed futures, where over 65% of the assets are controlled by just 3% of the managers (just 35 of them).
But while more assets may beget more asset raising, it doesn't necessarily mean more success. We looked at the BarclayHedge database and measured the average monthly return for all programs going back 20 years, finding a distinct pattern of returns falling as assets got larger.
There are several reasons for this, including the deleveraging of a program to attract more institutional assets, the inability to access less liquid commodity markets such as cotton or cocoa or platinum without hitting position limits, and the inevitable mental shift to protecting assets under management rather than growing them.
ACCESSING 'RIGHT-SIZED' MANAGERS
There are managed-futures programs in the $50 million to $1 billion under management range that have bucked the status quo since 2009 by making money while stocks have been rallying. These managers are 'right-sized,' remaining small and thus being able to access commodity markets like cotton and corn and large enough to maintain sophisticated operations and risk controls.
But a lot of these programs haven't been available to investment advisers and their clients because they exist only as managed accounts (which advisers can't access unless they are registered as futures professionals) or privately offered funds (which the managers don't have the scale or workforce to wholesale to the adviser channel). They typically don't have an interest in spending a lot of money to create and sustain a “liquid alts” mutual fund or ETF-type product.
Managed-account platforms are sometimes touted as a solution to this problem, offering one-investment access to a menu of programs. But there remains a steep learning curve and need for due diligence on the managers available, and most platforms still don't have access to the 'right-sized' managers (as the smaller managers may not wish or yet be able to pay to get onto the platform).
A better way of matching up those advisers who believe in the powerful diversification of managed futures with these 'right-sized' managers is needed.
GET MANAGED FUTURES DOING A BETTER JOB
With the stock market at all-time highs and interest rates still at historic lows, you're likely to start getting more of what you want from managed futures just by keeping your exposure to the space and benefiting from their crisis period performance profile.
But for those not content to just wait, a review of your managed-futures holdings could be in store: Are you with the largest managers, who have trouble accessing commodities? Are you in a low-cost replication strategy that is underperforming the index? Do you have access to “right-sized” managers via privately offered funds? These are all questions that need to be answered before a fair assessment can be made on whether managed futures are doing the job you hired them to do.
Jeff Malec is founder and CEO of Attain Capital Management.
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Selasa, 09 September 2014
Are you prepared to make an exit from the stock market?
Are you prepared to make an exit from the stock market?
If the Fed ends, or hints at ending its ultra-low interest rate policy, investors need to prepare for market mayhem
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Jumat, 05 September 2014
Advisers take stock as ETF portfolio manager F-Squared faces legal action
Advisers take stock as ETF portfolio manager F-Squared faces legal action
On the eve of possible legal action, popular money manager works to retain clients
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Bond gurus say the rally is over
Bond gurus say the rally is over
Plus: Hackers find nothing to steal from Obamacare site, the Fed goes after Libor, another reminder to diversify into alternatives, and kick off the football season with an NFL index
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Kamis, 04 September 2014
The four flavors of multialternatives have widely differing tastes
The four flavors of multialternatives have widely differing tastes
As investors fork over assets, advisers need to learn to distinguish the sweet from the sour
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Rabu, 03 September 2014
Frustrated Fed calls out consumers for saving too much
Frustrated Fed calls out consumers for saving too much
Plus: SEC reforms add risk to money market funds, considering a worst-case-scenario for economic growth, what Eric Cantor brings to Wall Street, and another case for long-short equity investing
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Selasa, 02 September 2014
Morgan Stanley bets big on stocks
Morgan Stanley bets big on stocks
Plus: Young people are living for the moment and ignoring the future, Detroit's big bankruptcy trial finally starts, and how to tread lightly into the master limited partnership space
Sep 2, 2014 @ 7:51 am
- Morgan Stanley gets ultra-bullish, says the S&P's 200% climb off the bottom is just the beginning. S&P at 3,000 is possible
- Millennials are losing ground in retirement planning by living in the moment. Financial advisers have their work cut out for them. Young people can't imagine themselves as gray-haired and retired
- Detroit's historic bankruptcy trial starts today. Potentially setting precedent in the muni bond market. City tries to cut $12 billion in unsecured debt down to $5 billion
- Sifting through the MLP space for appropriate retirement portfolio products. Don't forget to ask yourself, why you are investing in MLPs. Start very slowly
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